Czech Government collapses –
Nobody at home to welcome Obama?
Image source via wikicommons
Just a quick notice about something that I just found on Reuters
The facts:
Yesterday, Tuesday 24th 2009, the Czech government collapsed after having suffered a no-confidence vote and elections are not very likely to happen before fall/ autumn this year. The next regular election was scheduled for middle-late 2010 or even for spring 2011. The parties could agree on a new government, !if they could agree with each other!, something that is not very likely to happen. All this might let the Czech Republic dangle in political limbo, less than two weeks before Barack Obama’s visit to Prague. The Czech Republic is also currently holding the EU presidency and will do so for three further months.
President Vaclav Klaus, not being known for being particular EU-friendly, has now the right to pick the next prime minister. Topolanek, the ?current? prime minister would like to have a second try, but is lacking the necessary majorities in both houses. That leaves the deciding power in the hands of a few independents from both sides of the political spectrum. Topolanek’s cabinet could be left in power for weeks or even months, even after it resigns, to avoid political insecurity and instability.
What will happen now?
The president appoints a new prime minister, but there is no time pressure for him to do so, as the constitution is rather vague in this point. This new prime minister must than “survive” a vote of confidence for his/ her newly formed government. If s/he fails the circle begins again. In the third round, if it comes to this, the right to nominate passes on to the speaker of the lower house. And if that fails (They are prepared for everything
The president can than dissolve the house and call an early election, which might be or might not be earlier than 2010 when the next regular election is scheduled.
So far President Klaus has not communicated when he would appoint a new prime minister and much less who it might be. 1998, in a similar case, the constitution was amended, with the agreement of a majority of 3/5 in both houses, to allow for an earlier election. Getting a 3/5 majority for anything, is, at least at the moment, not very probable.
The implications:
The country will run smoothly for a while, with or without functioning government, that is the advantage of having a “bureaucrazy”. The EU presidency might get a bit bumpy, but also nothing to worry about, they have bureaucrats also in Brussels
More to worry about two other points:
Who will be the next prime minister? Will it come to a shift towards the left side of the political spectrum? Will the pendulum swing to the other side after the last government, which was a bit more on the “right” side?
And with whom will Obama speak about the planned stationing of the radar devices in the Czech Republic which are meant to be an important part of the missile defence and radar system of the NATO? This is something the vast majority of Czech citizens disapprove of strongly! Obama will find a host and a hospitable welcome when he comes to Prague, but it is not very likely that he finds a decision maker to talk to.